Super Bowl odds Week 14

Super Bowl Odds 2025: Lions Remain the Favorites, Steelers Gain Momentum

Let's break down some 2025 Super Bowl odds with the NFL regular season advancing into Week 14.

The Detroit Lions (+275) are atop the leaderboard for the third consecutive week and they continue to edge further ahead of the second-place Eagles, Bills and Chiefs (+500). The Lions hung on to defeat the Chicago Bears 23-20 on Thanksgiving and tied their 1934 squad for the longest winning streak (10) in franchise history. 

The Lions have the highest ticket % (16.4%) and handle % (18.6%) to win the Super Bowl per BetMGM, with the Chiefs owning the second highest ticket (12.5%) and handle (14%) percentage. The Ravens are third with 7.9% of Super Bowl tickets and 10.6% of the Super Bowl handle. 

Here's a complete breakdown of updated 2025 Super Bowl odds and some value picks:

Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 59?

The Detroit Lions (+275) remain in the top spot for Super Bowl 59 odds. Although the reigning back-to-back Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, and Buffalo Bills are lurking right behind them at +500.

Odds To Win NFL - Super Bowl LIX 2024-25
TeamsOdds
Detroit Lions+250
Buffalo Bills+500
Kansas City Chiefs+500
Philadelphia Eagles+500
Baltimore Ravens+1000
Green Bay Packers+1400
Minnesota Vikings+1800
Pittsburgh Steelers+2000
Houston Texans+3000
LA Chargers+3500
Denver Broncos+4000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+5500
Seattle Seahawks+6000
Washington Commanders+6000
Arizona Cardinals+8000
LA Rams+8000
Atlanta Falcons+10000
Miami Dolphins+15000
San Francisco 49ers+15000
Cincinnati Bengals+20000
Indianapolis Colts+30000
NY Jets+75000
Chicago Bears+100000
Cleveland Browns+100000
Dallas Cowboys+100000
Jacksonville Jaguars+100000
Las Vegas Raiders+100000
New Orleans Saints+100000
NY Giants+100000
Tennessee Titans+100000
Carolina Panthers+150000
New England Patriots+150000

Odds as of December 6th, 2024 00:09am EST.

See Our Best NFL Betting Sites Here

Super Bowl Odds Movement

A variety of things can cause Super Bowl odds movement, including injuries, team performance, or transactions. If you look at 2025 Super Bowl odds now, you'll see movement for teams like the Commanders and Bengals:

Rising: Philadelphia Eagles

Last week the Eagles had the third shortest odds at +650 and today they're tied for second at +500. 

Philly's victory over the Baltimore Ravens has sent Eagles fans into a frenzy. Saquon Barkley is a certified NFL MVP candidate, AJ Brown is dominating, and all of a sudden the Eagles' once-maligned defense has transformed into a stingy unit. 

The Eagles have won eight straight games and are showing few signs of slowing down.

It is worth noting that Eagles veteran defensive lineman Brandon Graham is now out for the year after sustaining an injury in Week 12. 

Falling: San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers were +1100 to win the Super Bowl in Week 12, but after ugly losses to the Packers and Bills, they've fallen to +15000. San Francisco is struggling with a number of injuries, most notably to Brock Purdy and Nick Bosa, and the season could get a lot worse if those guys remain out.

The 49ers remaining schedule features the Lions, and Dolphins so they have an uphill battle to make the playoffs. 

Super Bowl 2025 Odds Best Bet: Steelers (+2000)

Death, taxes, and the Pittsburgh Steelers staying above .500. Mike Tomlin's team has now won at least eight games for a record 18 straight seasons. They've seen their odds fall from +3300 to +2000 after their 44-38 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals.

The Steelers are certifiable Super Bowl contenders. TJ Watt is as menacing as ever, and Russell Wilson's resurgence has given Pittsburgh the juice they need to contend in the postseason. 

Pittsburgh sits in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive yards per play. Additionally, they are allowing just 62% of passes to be completed with a stellar 3.23 interception percentage. Pittsburgh's top-ranked pass-rush and opportunistic secondary will be a handful for even the greatest passers in the NFL to contend with in the playoffs.

Wilson's revival and the Steelers' strong rushing game will keep them playing in February. I love the value on the Steelers at +2000 to win the Super Bowl.

Exact Super Bowl Matchup Odds

We've got Super Bowl 59 exact matchup odds out, and the top teams are exactly where you think they'd be. If I'm looking for some value off the board, I don't hate Steelers vs Lions Super Bowl bet at +2800.

2025 Super Bowl Exact Matchup Odds
TeamsOdds
Ravens vs Lions+1100
Chiefs vs Lions+600
Bills vs. Lions+750
Bills vs Eagles+1400
Steelers vs Lions+2800
Ravens vs Eagles+1600

Odds via BetMGM as of December 3rd

Making A Betting Strategy For Super Bowl 59

Crafting a winning Super Bowl betting strategy begins long before the first kickoff of the regular season. Assessing offseason changes, coaching adjustments, and previous performances are crucial factors.

You're likely to get the best betting value on a team if you place a bet before the season, but there are times in the regular season and even playoffs when you can still place a smart bet. Keep an eye on the odds, as they fluctuate throughout the year due to injuries, trades, and team performance. Acting swiftly when you spot favorable odds ensures maximizing potential winnings, as odds can shift dramatically over time at NFL sportsbooks.

The general key to crafting a betting strategy for Super Bowl odds is comparing a team's likelihood of winning in your mind to where they are on the odds board. Finding a team much more likely to win than the odds indicate is the smartest bet you can make. This strategy holds true for most futures odds, including NFL award odds.

Last 10 Super Bowl Champions

Recent Super Bowl Champs and Preseason Odds
YearTeamPreseason OddsResult
2024 (58)Kansas City Chiefs+600Chiefs 25 - 49ers 22
2023 (57)Kansas City Chiefs+1000Chiefs 38 - Eagles 35
2022 (56)Los Angeles Rams+1200Rams 23 - Bengals 20
2021 (55)Tampa Bay Buccaneers+1000Buccaneers 31 - Chiefs 9
2020 (54)Kansas City Chiefs+600Chiefs 31 - 49ers 20
2019 (53)New England Patriots+600Patriots 13 - Rams 3
2018 (52)Philadelphia Eagles+4000Eagles 41 - Patriots 33
2017 (51)New England Patriots+600Patriots 34 - Falcons 28
2016 (50)Denver Broncos+900Broncos 24 - Panthers 10
2015 (49)New England Patriots+650Patriots 28 - Seahawks 24

The Kansas City Chiefs have been a powerhouse lately, winning three of the last five Super Bowls. Led by coach Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes, you can expect the Chiefs at the top of these odds as long as they're around.

The biggest recent Super Bowl underdog was the 2017 Eagles, who beat Brady’s Patriots in the final. They even did so after their No. 1 QB, Carson Wentz, went down with an injury late in the season. Backup Nick Foles took over under center and earned Super Bowl MVP honors to deliver great preseason odds value to Philly’s Super Bowl 52 bettors.

NFL Teams with the Most Super Bowls

Super Bowl Wins
TeamSuper Bowl WinsSuper Bowl AppearancesLast Win
New England Patriots6112018
Pittsburgh Steelers682008
San Francisco 49ers571994
Dallas Cowboys581995
Green Bay Packers452010
New York Giants452011
Kansas City Chiefs462024
Washington Commanders351991
Denver Broncos382015
Las Vegas Raiders351983
Baltimore Ravens222012
Tampa Bay Buccaneers222020
Indianapolis Colts242006
Miami Dolphins251973
New Orleans Saints112009
New York Jets111968
Chicago Bears121985
Philadelphia Eagles142017
Los Angeles Rams132021
Seattle Seahawks132013

The Steelers and Patriots dominate the history of the Super Bowl. They’ve appeared in 19 of the 57 Super Bowls, winning six each. There is some decent NFL parity, though, with 20 teams claiming a title all-time.

NFL Teams that have never won a Super Bowl

The 12 teams that have never won a Super Bowl are:

  • Buffalo Bills (four Super Bowl appearances)
  • Minnesota Vikings (4)
  • Atlanta Falcons (2)
  • Carolina Panthers (2)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (2)
  • Arizona Cardinals (1)
  • Tennessee Titans (1)
  • Los Angeles Chargers (1)
  • Cleveland Browns (0)
  • Detroit Lions (0)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (0)
  • Houston Texans (0)

Super Bowl Betting Trends

Trends aren't the only thing that dictates future success, but they can give insight into some teams and details both bettors and sportsbooks often overlook. Check out these Super Bowl trends below or weekly NFL betting trends for game-to-game data.

  • 8 of the last 12 Super Bowls have been won by an AFC team.
  • 13 of the last 16 Super Bowl-winning QBs have been at least 27 at the time of their victory.
  • No rookie QB has ever won the Super Bowl as a starter.
  • Cheap out at RB: The rushing leader of nine of the last 11 Super Bowl Champs has made $2.5 million or less base salary.
  • A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 15 of the last 23 years.

Super Bowl Odds FAQ

What other options are there to bet on?

Other options to bet on for Super Bowl 58 include game props, the coin toss (heads or tails), the color of the Gatorade shower, national anthem props on the Star-Spangled Banner, halftime show props, exotic props, Most Valuable Player prop odds, player props and live or in-play Super Bowl betting.

What are the odds on the Super Bowl?

Oddsmakers listed the Kansas City Chiefs as betting favorites in the opening odds to win Super Bowl 58. The Chiefs won the Super Bowl in 2023, and opened the offseason as favorites to repeat as champions again in 2024.

Can I bet on Super Bowl futures?

Yes, you can bet on the Super Bowl and a potential winning team. You’re always going to have your top contenders, especially the teams that were really good the previous year like the Chiefs. Having said that, the lines are set with the consideration of offseason roster moves and coaching changes, as well as past performances on the field.

Where can I learn how to bet on the NFL Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting events in the world. But action on the NFL championship game can be a little overwhelming, especially if you’re new to betting on football. Our How to Bet on the Super Bowl page will help you learn all the ins and outs to getting money down on the biggest game of the season.

Back to Top