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Why NFL Prop Betting can be Profitable

NFL betting is often centered on sides and totals, but the explosion of online sportsbooks – and football fantasy leagues – has made prop betting a go-to wager for football bettors.

What is a Prop Bet?

A prop bet is a wager that typically has nothing to do with the outcome of a game. NFL prop bets can be anything from how an individual player performs, how long the national anthem will be, which team will win the coin toss (more on that below) and even how many penalties a team will get.

Let’s use the example of Drew Brees, quarterback of the New Orleans Saints and future Hall of Famer (bias alert!). Prop bets for this type player would be something like:

  • How many touchdowns will Brees throw in the Saints game against the Falcons?
  • How many passing yards will Brees have in the first quarter of a game against the Panthers?
  • Will Brees throw an interception against the Buccaneers?

As long as you learn to pick your spots – and do your research – prop betting can be profitable for you too.

How Maximize your NFL Prop Bet Winnings

There are things you can do to boost your winnings when betting props. Stick to what you know well and make sure what you’re betting on can be researched – our OddsShark NFL pages can help with this. We have picks, odds, scores, betting trends and pretty much everything you’ll need to research the particular prop bet you’re looking to make.

A few paragraphs ago, we mentioned that you can bet on the coin toss. For your first prop bet, this is a good idea because you have a 50/50 chance of winning that wager. However, this isn’t something that we recommend doing for every game since essentially you have a 50 percent chance of losing your money – and the result is completely random and something you can’t research.

Instead of always relying on the coin toss for your prop betting, look for value in other wagers. If you’ve been following a particular team and know their tendencies, this is a great way to uncover prop bets that have significance. Keep an eye on the weekly injury reports and latest game matchups, and you could find a player prop that suits you on any given Sunday – also the title of an underrated movie where Jamie Foxx should’ve won a Golden Globe for the Willie Beamon rap.

Another rule of thumb is to evaluate the point spread. In blowouts, the team that’s leading tends to run the ball to milk the clock like a dairy cow, while the trailing squad tends to up the air attack like a vuvuzela. The score of the game has a direct effect on statistical output, so handicap your prop bets accordingly.