With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 Valero Texas Open. It is always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 Valero Texas Open prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
Last week at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, a new man ascended to the top spot in the world of golf. Amid a torrid pace the past few months, Scottie Scheffler has gone from winless on the PGA Tour to becoming the new official world No. 1, surpassing Jon Rahm with his victory at Austin Country Club.
We were not as fortunate as Scheffler. We went into the final day of the group stage with all four of our group bets in charge of their own fate but it was a difficult pill to swallow with each of our selections falling short. We now shift back to stroke play for the Valero Texas Open.
While feet may be on the grounds of San Antonio, eyes are certainly on Augusta, Georgia, as the year’s first major championship is set for next week. With flight tracking engaged on a certain 15-time major champion and unsubstantiated reports flooding the internet, it has become all the more difficult to focus on the Valero Texas Open.
Yet we are not alone as Tiger Woods was spotted in Augusta on Tuesday, only two days before the beginning of the Valero Texas Open. Meanwhile, tournament favorite Rory McIlroy is listed at -300 to finish inside the top 20 at TPC San Antonio; our odds calculator gives the four-time major champion a 75.00 percent chance to do just that.
But needing to lay $300 to profit $100, the price is a touch too steep given McIlroy’s propensity to disappoint with his irons. Instead, we will search further down the Valero Texas Open oddsboard for some perceived value in the top-20 market.
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2022 Valero Texas Open: What To Look For
Despite the Tiger Woods news, there is still plenty to look forward to at the Valero Texas Open, mainly the inclusion of the last player into the field at Augusta National for The Masters next week. Because of this, numerous big names are set to take on TPC San Antonio with the hopes of finding some magic, winning and thus gaining entry into the year’s first major championship.
Jason Day was a name that caught my attention as he was in contention at the Farmers Insurance Open earlier this season. The Australian finished in a tie for third place and has since lost his mother to cancer and struggled on the golf course.
Experiencing a difficult time, the former world No. 1 is now on the cusp of missing his first Masters Tournament since 2010. With the string of Australian success at Augusta, this would be a huge blow for Day, who has often contended in the Masters and twice finished on the podium.
He is not alone as Rickie Fowler is another popular name to grace the San Antonio area with his presence. Set for his third Valero Texas Open appearance, the five-time Sportsbook on the PGA Tour has finished in a tie for 17th place in his previous two outings.
Fowler missed the Masters last April, marking the first such occurrence since 2010. A top-five finisher in 2014 and a runner-up in 2018, if Fowler can somehow find his form and win, it would make for the biggest headline of the year in golf.
2022 Valero Texas Open Prop Bets & Best Bets
J.T. Poston +600 To Finish Inside The Top 20
J.T. Poston has been the bane of our existence as we have looked in his direction numerous times this season. He has yet to come through for us, but the way in which the Western Carolina alum has performed off the tee is extremely attractive at a venue such as TPC San Antonio boasting generous landing areas and less than penal rough. The ability to correctly place tee shots should only aid Poston from the fairway into the greens.
Drawing similarities to desert golf, this should provide Poston some confidence given his two best results of the season came in the form of top-25 efforts at the American Express and the WM Phoenix Open. Able to do so without the luxury of competent iron play, those outings combined with his history at TPC San Antonio gives reason for confidence.
Making his fourth Valero Texas Open appearance, the 28-year-old is a perfect 3-for-3 making it to the weekend at the Oaks Course with those finishes reading T-27, T-30 and T-67. It is safe to say if Poston can draw level with the field on approach, he has a realistic opportunity to play himself inside the top 20 of the leaderboard by the end of the week.
Robert Streb +600 To Finish Inside The Top 20
Very quietly, Robert Streb finished in a tie for seventh place at the Valspar Championship. Gaining strokes on the field in every aspect of the game, the two-time Sportsbook on the tour should be capable of riding this momentum into a similar outing at the Valero Texas Open.
In what will be his fifth appearance at TPC San Antonio, the Kansas State product possesses a mixed bag, making only two of four cuts and failing to crack the top 60. Yet, given his propensity to spike this season, I reckon this week will be different as he also boasts top-10 finishes at the CJ Cup @ Summit and the HPE Houston Open.
This should bode well for Streb’s chances. While he has yet to find a true comfort level at TPC San Antonio, he has yet to arrive with this upside, making a top-20 wager more than prudent for the Valero Texas Open.
Kevin Tway +750 To Finish Inside The Top 20
This one may come out of left field, but if there was ever a week to back Kevin Tway, it is this week at the Valero Texas Open. Some may be turned off by his three consecutive missed cuts in his Florida swing, but the former Oklahoma State Cowboy has never played his best golf in the Sunshine State. Instead, a return to a familiar part of the country should bring a sense of comfort just as it did at the HPE Houston Open.
A runner-up finish to Jason Kokrak added to Tway’s season resume, which included a T-30 at the Fortinet Championship. If Tway is able to effectively utilize his distance off the tee, scoring opportunities should come in bunches and propel him inside the top 20.
Jimmy Walker +850 To Finish Inside The Top 20
Arguably my favorite Valero Texas Open prop bet, the 2015 champion of this tournament has been lights-out at TPC San Antonio throughout his career. Since it became the tournament host in 2010, Walker has collected not only a victory but also four top-20 finishes, two of which doubled for top-five results.
A native Texan, Walker has clearly displayed his liking for the Greg Norman design and he arrives this season sporting some decent form. Striking his irons well at both the Honda Classic and the Players Championship, the former PGA Champion will not be afraid if the wind intensifies, which it may very well do this week.
At ease in the elements and at this course, if Walker can find his touch on the greens, he should play a factor in this tournament. Posting positive SG: Putting metrics in six of seven starts at the Oaks Course, he makes for an intriguing outside play to round out our Valero Texas Open prop bets.