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Maxx Crosby and the Raiders are among out NFL Thanksgiving picks.

It’s time for the annual tradition of shoving food in our faces, ignoring our families and betting on Thanksgiving NFL football.

The NFL is back to its normal three-game slate for the holiday after a COVID-induced two-gamer last year. Here’s a look at what’s on tap for Thursday to kick off Week 12, other than a grotesque amount of food:

► Bears (-3.5) at Lions

► Raiders at Cowboys (-8) 

► Bills (-5.5) at Saints

We’re taking a look at some lines and totals from [ol-sportsbook-bp:48:Bovada:26:Bodog] for this Turkey Day slate, but be sure to check out some Thanksgiving football prop bets and Thanksgiving football betting trends as well. 

Bears -3.5 vs Lions (-105)

The Bears are in shambles right now. With rumors swirling that Matt Nagy’s demise as head coach could be imminent, the team is also now forced to turn to their backup quarterback for Thanksgiving Day. Andy Dalton will be under center for the Bears as Justin Fields deals with a rib injury.

Dalton is 1-1 this season as a starter, throwing for 471 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. He has a 65.8 percent completion rate this year.

After missing last week’s game, Jared Goff will start at quarterback for the Lions on the other side. With Goff at QB, the Lions have just eight touchdowns through the air this season – second fewest in the league.

The only team with fewer passing TDs? Chicago.

Don’t expect a ton of points from these inept offenses. But we’ll side with the Bears, who have the slightly better defense. 

Pick: Bears -3.5

  • Best Spread
    +100
    -105
    CHI-2.5
    +2.5DET
  • Best Moneyline
    -130
    +120
    CHI
    DET
  • Best Total
    -110
    -104
    Over41.5
    41.5Under

Raiders at Cowboys -8 (-115)

This line appears to be a tad high considering the injury situation the Cowboys are dealing with at the moment.

Star receiver Amari Cooper will miss the game because he is an unvaccinated player who entered COVID protocol last week and must miss 10 days of work.

Meanwhile, receiver CeeDee Lamb is questionable after leaving Sunday’s game and entering concussion protocol, running back Ezekiel Elliott is questionable with a knee injury, and left tackle Tyron Smith – who has already missed three straight games – is questionable with an ankle injury.

It looks like Elliott and Smith are closer to likely than unlikely, but Dak Prescott could be working with a skeleton crew out there on a short week against the Raiders.

The Raiders have had their share of problems as well – mostly off the field – but are much healthier than Dallas and should be hungry for a Turkey Day victory after three straight losses.

We aren’t ready to say the Raiders will win outright, but we think they have a great chance to cover with the Cowboys operating short-handed no matter who is healthy enough to suit up. 

Pick: Raiders +8

  • Best Spread
    +110
    -110
    LV+7
    -7DAL
  • Best Moneyline
    +275
    -320
    LV
    DAL
  • Best Total
    -110
    -110
    Over51
    51Under

Bills -5.5 at Saints (-110)

The Bills have certainly struggled lately, getting blown out at home by the Colts and losing a 9-6 slog to the Jaguars three weeks ago. But we believe this is still one of the best teams in the league, particularly on defense.

The Bills are first in the league in yards per play allowed on defense, first in net yards per pass attempt allowed, second in turnovers and have given up the fewest total yards. They are also first in the league in pressure rate and hurry percentage.

This is a good team with a good defense that simply got run over by maybe the best offensive line in the NFL last week.

Even with Alvin Kamara possibly returning for New Orleans, the Saints are an average team at best with awful skill position players (outside of Kamara) and a banged-up offensive line missing multiple starters. They’re also starting a backup quarterback.

This line reeks of recency bias. We like the Bills to bounce back in a big way.

Pick: Bills -5.5

  • Best Spread
    -105
    -105
    BUF-7
    +7NO
  • Best Moneyline
    -270
    +250
    BUF
    NO
  • Best Total
    -105
    -110
    Over45
    45Under

Other Thanksgiving Day Picks

Bears at Lions UNDER 41.5

These are two of the least explosive offenses in the league who also happen to emply a run-first, clock control approach. 

We’re all over the UNDER at 41.5 in a matchup that feels like a 17-10 game waiting to happen.

Pick: UNDER 41.5

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Raiders at Cowboys UNDER 50.5

Betting UNDERs isn’t fun. Nobody wants to sit there and root for a low-scoring game. But the reality is the Cowboys defense should be good enough to slow down the Raiders on the road and the Cowboys offense is ailing. 

If CeeDee Lamb and Zeke Elliott are ruled out, this total will drop considerably in an instant. As of Tuesday afternoon, we don’t have a definitive answer on their status, but either way the Cowboys are operating at less than 100 percent. They only managed nine points last week against a below-average Chiefs defense, after all.

Pick: UNDER 50.5