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Dallas Cowboys featured in our 2022 NFL Thanksgiving Day betting trends, odds and games
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2022 NFL Thanksgiving Football Betting Trends

Odds Shark Staff Last Updated: Dec 02, 2022 11:16 AM ET

There are three different holiday necessities for this upcoming week: a juicy turkey, savory pumpkin pie and – best of all – football.

Betting on the NFL Thanksgiving Day football games is part of the tradition, with three contests to feast on during the celebration. This season’s slate of games marks the third time since 2006 that five of the six teams storming the field have a winning record. So serve yourself a plate, sit in front of the TV and watch as your pockets get stuffed with winning bets. 

Let’s bite into the trends of Turkey Day! Teams that head into the matchup favored usually leave more grateful than they arrived. Since 1984, Thanksgiving favorites are 67-23 SU (74.4%), tilting heavily at 43-8 SU in the last 51 games, and 56-34 ATS (62.2%). 

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Thanksgiving Football Betting Trends:

Buffalo at Detroit (11:30 A.M. ET)
  • Buffalo is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games
  • Buffalo is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games (average score margin: 11.94)
  • Buffalo is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games as the favorite
  • Buffalo is 3-0 SU in its last 3 games on Thursdays (average score margin: 19.0)
  • Buffalo is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games against teams with losing records (average score margin: 9.33)
  • The total has gone UNDER in Buffalo’s last 5 games on the road (average combined score: 41.0) 
  • Detroit is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games
  • Detroit is 7-23-1 SU in its last 31 games (average score margin: -7.87)
  • Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
  • Detroit is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games as the underdog
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit’s last 12 games (average combined score: 56.58)
  • Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games vs Detroit (average score margin: 3.17)

Buffalo (7-3) will trek to Detroit’s Ford Field for the second time in less than a week after its game against Cleveland was moved and Highmark Stadium got buried in over six feet of snow – a condition five-foot-seven Bills RB Devin Singletary wouldn’t have been able to survive. The Lions (4-6), the only team with a losing record playing on Thursday, will appear in their 83rd Thanksgiving Day game. Detroit is 37-43-2 SU all-time, including last season’s 16-14 loss to the Chicago Bears. 

But Detroit is on a three-game hot streak after taking down the Giants 31-18, the most points the Lions have put up since Week 1. Buffalo didn’t lose a game in October and snapped a two-game slide by downing the Browns 31-23 in their first trip to Detroit. According to online sportsbook Sportsbook, the Bills enter as generous 9-point road favorites with the total set at 53.5 points. The total has gone UNDER in the last six games between these teams. 

With the Lions playing well with a pressure-free mentality and the Bills bouncing back and hoping to stay off the schneid, expect the scoreboard to see a decent amount of action. 

Sportsbook

New York at Dallas (3:30 P.M. ET)
  • New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games (average score margin: 0.57)
  • New York is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games on the road
  • New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as the underdog
  • New York is 0-4 SU in its last 4 games vs its division (average score margin: -15.25)
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York’s last 5 games (average combined score: 42.6)
  • Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games (average score margin: 11.11)
  • Dallas is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games at home
  • Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games vs its division
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’ last 7 games at home (average combined score: 41.29)
  • New York is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games vs Dallas

AT&T Stadium will host its 45th annual Thanksgiving Day special with an NFC East rivalry game as the Cowboys (7-3) meet the Giants (7-3). The Cowboys will aim to recover from last year’s 36-33 OT upset against the Raiders, which was one of the NFL’s largest underdog wins on Thanksgiving Day with Dallas a 7-point favorite. The Cowboys are coming off a dominating 40-3 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. Meanwhile, the Giants might still be wearing paper bags over their heads after losing to Detroit and managing just 18 points against a defense that’s at the bottom of the league rankings, allowing 28.2 points per game. Now the Giants will go up against a Dallas defense yielding an NFL-low 16.7 points per game. 

These teams also met in September, with the Cowboys earning the 23-16 win behind backup QB Cooper Rush, standing in for Dak Prescott. In his four appearances since returning from injury, Prescott has thrown eight touchdown passes, including two or more in his last three games. Dallas enters the meeting as a 9-point home favorite with the total listed at 44.5 points. The total has gone OVER in six of the Giants’ last eight games against the Cowboys.

New England at Minnesota (7:20 P.M. ET)
  • New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games (average score margin: 11.33)
  • The total has gone UNDER in New England’s last 3 games (average combined score: 27.0)
  • New England is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games as the underdog
  • Minnesota is 3-1-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games (average score margin: -0.12)
  • Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games at home (average combined score: 51.78)
  • Minnesota is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games as the favorite
  • New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games vs Minnesota (average score margin: 15.6)
  • New England is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games vs Minnesota

Before you run out the door for some Black Friday shopping, digest your dinner with the evening matchup of the NFL’s holiday feast as the Patriots (6-4) line up at U.S. Bank Stadium to visit the Vikings (8-2). Both teams have seen minimal action on the November holiday, New England appearing for the sixth time and Minnesota suiting up for the ninth. 

The Pats are returning from Week 11’s snooze-fest matchup against the Jets that was poised to go into overtime deadlocked at 3-3 until New England rookie Marcus Jones returned a punt 84 yards to the end zone with five seconds left on the clock. It marked the third time this season the Patriots have given up three points or less, making them the only team to do so this season. We know Minnesota will be hungry for blood after being embarrassed by Dallas last week – nothing to be grateful for after that three-point offensive performance. But the Vikes are still second in the NFC, just behind the Eagles, and will be looking to keep that spot. 

According to our consensus data, the Vikings have a 74 percent likelihood of covering the -3 home spread, the lowest line of the holiday. The total is set at 42 points, the lowest on Thursday’s slate. The total has gone UNDER in six of New England’s last seven games against Minnesota with an average combined score of 38.71. 

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