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Super Bowl 54 Odds: How Did Your Team Do From the Draft?

The NFL draft is typically a beacon of hope for every fan base with the excitement of a talent injection from the first round. Bettors will usually try to sneak in and grab lower-end teams with value to win Super Bowl 54 but they may need to wait a little longer for a team to usurp the reigning Super Bowl champions on the oddsboard.

Online sportsbook Bovada has the New England Patriots along with the Kansas City Chiefs as the co-favorites to win Super Bowl 54. They’re followed by the Los Angeles Rams (+900), New Orleans Saints (+900), Chicago Bears (+1200), Cleveland Browns (+1200), Philadelphia Eagles (+1400), Indianapolis Colts (+1600), Los Angeles Chargers (+1600) and Dallas Cowboys (+2000) to round out the top 10.

Let’s identify some of the best “value” teams after the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft:

Indianapolis Colts +1600

I think they’re being slept on a little too much. The Colts have a stout offensive line, a game-changing quarterback and a ton of draft capital still left after trading out of the first round. They get to play in a relatively weak division in the AFC South and look to be a team on the rise with a ton of cap space. I’m not saying they can go into Foxborough or Arrowhead Stadium and win on the road in an AFC title game but crazier things have happened and it’s not a given that those two teams will be there at the end. At +1600, now would be the time to grab them because they get to play 10 games this season against non-playoff teams.

Oakland Raiders +6600

Look, hear me out. This is a team that could improve in a hurry. The Raiders drafted three solid first-rounders to help their defense because last season, they were one of the worst units in the league. They were last in points allowed per game and last in sacks, so taking a flyer on Clelin Ferrell at fourth overall should help on that front and getting RB Josh Jacobs should fill the void of Marshawn Lynch’s retirement. Remember, this is only based on value so if the Raiders get hot, their value will drop and you’ll be left picking at scraps. They also have a relatively weak schedule on the back end with only three of their last nine games against playoff teams from 2018.

Washington Redskins +15000

This is strictly value only because we know in the NFL how a rookie quarterback can rejuvenate a team’s fortunes in a hurry (ahem … Cleveland Browns). The Deadskins were able to get their quarterback of the future in Dwayne Haskins and didn’t have to trade up to get him, which means they can spend the rest of the draft and free agency on other key areas like their secondary. Another player who is going unnoticed is running back Derrius Guice from LSU. The second-year runner tore his ACL in training camp last season but all reports coming out of Washington are suggesting he could usurp Adrian Peterson as the lead RB. The ’Skins were pretty decent defensively last season and were in the driver’s seat to clinch a wild-card playoff spot before Alex Smith broke his leg. At that value, it might be worth throwing $10 on just to have your bases covered when we get into the nitty-gritty of the regular season.

Think other teams have better value and are worth a wager to win Super Bowl 54? Join the discussion and let us know in the comments section.

Odds To Win Super Bowl 54

Odds as of April 26 at Bovada

  • Kansas City Chiefs +700
  • New England Patriots +700
  • Los Angeles Rams +900
  • New Orleans Saints +900
  • Chicago Bears +1200
  • Cleveland Browns +1200
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1400
  • Indianapolis Colts +1600
  • Los Angeles Chargers +1600
  • Dallas Cowboys +2000
  • Green Bay Packers +2000
  • Minnesota Vikings +2200
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +2200
  • Houston Texans +2500
  • San Francisco 49ers +2500
  • Seattle Seahawks +2500
  • Baltimore Ravens +3000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +3300
  • Atlanta Falcons +3500
  • Carolina Panthers +5500
  • Denver Broncos +6000
  • Oakland Raiders +6600
  • Tennessee Titans +7000
  • New York Giants +7500
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7500
  • New York Jets +8000
  • Detroit Lions +9000
  • Arizona Cardinals +10000
  • Buffalo Bills +10000
  • Cincinnati Bengals +15000
  • Miami Dolphins +15000
  • Washington Redskins +15000

 

NFL free agency usually just yields a couple of moves that are yawn-worthy and maybe stir the pot enough to steal the attention away from the NBA for a few hours. However, three teams in particular are using the offseason like they’re in GM mode of Madden with the Cleveland Browns, New York Jets and Oakland Raiders making the biggest splashes and seeing their Super Bowl 54 odds shift as a result.

Online sportsbook Bovada likely has had to update their odds by the hour due to trades and signings, with the Browns climbing into the upper echelon with a big jump from +2200 to +1400 to win Super Bowl 54 after they acquired WR Odell Beckham Jr. This is a huge move for the perennial doormat of the NFL as it was just a year ago that we were focusing on what a disaster their 0-16 regular season had been.

Another team that made a splash was the Raiders by acquiring WR Antonio Brown from the Pittsburgh Steelers. Their odds have gone from +10000 to +6600 to win the Super Bowl.

The final domino to fall was Le’Veon Bell as the star running back agreed to a massive contract with the Jets but, surprisingly, their odds have actually gone in the other direction by increasing from +10000 to +12500.

What Does this All Mean?

It means the Browns are not playing around anymore. GM John Dorsey has completely remodeled this franchise and while Beckham Jr. is the splashy move, they also made efforts to solidify their defensive line with the addition of DT Sheldon Richardson. They are now heavy favorites to win the AFC North with the Steelers and Ravens being gutted by key players walking out the door. I don’t necessarily think they can win the Super Bowl this season but the fact you can get arguably the third-best AFC team for +1400 right now should not be dismissed.

For the Raiders, not having to give up one of their three first-round picks to get arguably a top-five receiver of all time should be commended. Along with Antonio Brown, the Raiders also signed safety LaMarcus Joyner and left tackle Trent Brown. Not a bad offseason for Jon Gruden and company and they might not be done with all the draft capital they still have. It could be a shrewd move by bettors to get on them at +6600 because if QB Derek Carr can bounce back and regain his form from the 2017 season when he was an MVP candidate, they could be good in a hurry.

And last, but not least, the J-E-T-S. They had a ton of cap space so they were obviously one of the front-runners to land Bell but I’m not sure it actually will put them in contention in a crowded AFC playoff picture. The road through the AFC East still goes through New England but by adding Bell and MLB CJ Mosley to the defense, the Jets won’t be a walkover like they’ve been over the last two seasons.

Here is the full list of Super Bowl 54 odds. See below for where your favorite team stacks up to win the title:

Odds To Win Super Bowl 54

Odds as of March 13 at Bovada

  • New England Patriots +700
  • Kansas City Chiefs +750
  • Los Angeles Rams +800
  • New Orleans Saints +900
  • Chicago Bears +1400
  • Cleveland Browns +1400
  • Los Angeles Chargers +1400
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1600
  • Indianapolis Colts +1800
  • Dallas Cowboys +2000
  • Green Bay Packers +2000
  • Minnesota Vikings +2000
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +2000
  • Houston Texans +2800
  • Seattle Seahawks +2800
  • Baltimore Ravens +3000
  • San Francisco 49ers +3000
  • Atlanta Falcons +3300
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +3300
  • Tennessee Titans +5000
  • Carolina Panthers +5500
  • Denver Broncos +6000
  • New York Giants +6000
  • Oakland Raiders +6600
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7000
  • Detroit Lions +8000
  • Buffalo Bills +10000
  • Arizona Cardinals +12500
  • Cincinnati Bengals +12500
  • Miami Dolphins +12500
  • New York Jets +12500
  • Washington Redskins +15000

 

The dust has settled, the champagne has been popped and the confetti has fallen on the winners (and losers) of Super Bowl 53 with the New England Patriots winning their sixth Super Bowl in franchise history. Well, oddsmakers have wasted no time picking the favorites to win Super Bowl 54 next February, with the Patriots and Los Angeles Rams at the top of the list.

Online sportsbook Bovada has both the Pats and Rams at +700, followed by the Los Angeles Chargers (+800), Kansas City Chiefs (+800), Indianapolis Colts (+1000), New Orleans Saints (+1000), Chicago Bears (+1300), Pittsburgh Steelers (+1600), Green Bay Packers (+1800) and Minnesota Vikings (+2000) to round out the top 10.

Let’s dive into why the Rams and Patriots are the favorites and which teams have decent value and which ones are ripoffs.

Rams and Pats Have the Goods To Make Another Run

Although there wasn’t much offense to speak of for the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl 53, they’re pretty much set at the key positions going into next season. QB Jared Goff, RB Todd Gurley, WR Brandin Cooks and DT Aaron Donald are all 27 or younger with the latter three all on new well-paid contracts that won’t need attention for a couple of seasons. Goff is still on his rookie deal so the Rams will be able to avoid having to give him a hefty payday this offseason and concentrate whatever cap space they have left to fill out the pieces on their roster. The Rams were a top-three offense for the entire season and at +700, bettors can’t be faulted for investing in Los Angeles.

As for the Patriots, what else is there left to say that hasn’t been mumbled by Bill Belichick at a press conference? New England just played in its third straight Super Bowl and fourth in the last five years and has been to the AFC championship game for the last eight seasons. The beat goes on for the Patriots, even if their quarterback is over 40, as Belichick continues to put them in a position to succeed. At +700, now would be the time to get on them because I expect the Pats to get more veterans chasing a ring when free agency hits and even if they struggle to start the season, online sportsbooks rarely drop their odds.

Teams with Value

Chicago Bears +1300

An all-world defense, a QB still on his rookie deal, an offensive guru for a head coach and a great kick– … oh wait, too soon. The Bears were undone by their kicking game in the playoffs and anyone with a set of eyes knows they were better than the Eagles despite falling victim to a double-doink. Chicago was hands down the best overall defense in the NFL last season, first in turnover differential and only lost one divisional game, in Week 1 against the Packers. I think the Bears will win the AFC North again and at +1300, that’s great juice for a team that held the opposition to 17.7 points per game last season.

Jacksonville Jaguars +5000

Sticking with the same theme for the Bears, the Jaguars defense is still legit but they were done in by their quarterback. The Jags offense only managed 15.3 points per game last year but the defense still ranked in the top five in points and passing yards allowed per game. Blake Bortles’ days are numbered in a Jacksonville uniform and GM Tom Coughlin has made it known he will be actively searching for the next signal-caller for the Jags. Based on value alone, the Jags at +5000 is excellent considering it was just over 13 months ago that they were playing in the AFC title game.

Teams To Avoid

Cleveland Browns +3000

It’s a cute story and while I think they can finish with a winning record next season, it will take a lot for them to make the playoffs, let alone win the Super Bowl. The Browns still have a lot of holes at linebacker and offensive line and unless they rectify those issues in the offseason, they’ll still be chasing the Ravens and Steelers. The other part of this equation is the competition to get into the playoffs in the AFC. The division winners aren’t going anywhere, the Chargers should remain competitive and the Colts/Texans/Jaguars should all still be in the mix. I think it’s best to avoid the Browns for this season and start getting your money together for Super Bowl 55.

Minnesota Vikings +2000

Where to begin? Cap issues, a quarterback who shrinks in big games, a running game in shambles. These are just some of the concerns for why I think the Vikings’ Super Bowl window has closed but the main reason is playing in the NFC. There is just so much competition for the six playoff spots that I just can’t see how this team can improve based on the lack of cap space. They’re likely going to have to part with their best linebacker in Anthony Barr and their offensive line is still a train wreck. I like a lot of their pieces (Thielen, Diggs, Cook) but at +2000, this bet hinges on Kirk Cousins and I think you’re a fool if you think the Vikings win Super Bowl 54.

Odds To Win The Super Bowl 54

Odds as of February 3 at Bovada

  • Miami Dolphins +30000
  • Washington Redskins +15000
  • Oakland Raiders +10000
  • New York Jets +10000
  • Detroit Lions +10000
  • Denver Broncos +10000
  • Cincinnati Bengals +10000
  • Buffalo Bills +10000
  • Arizona Cardinals +10000
  • Tennessee Titans +6000
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6500
  • New York Giants +5000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +5000
  • Carolina Panthers +5000
  • San Francisco 49ers +4500
  • Seattle Seahawks +4000
  • Houston Texans +4000
  • Cleveland Browns +3000
  • Baltimore Ravens +3000
  • Atlanta Falcons +3000
  • Philadelphia Eagles +2000
  • Dallas Cowboys +2000
  • Minnesota Vikings +2000
  • Green Bay Packers +1800
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +1600
  • Chicago Bears +1300
  • New Orleans Saints +1000
  • Indianapolis Colts +1000
  • Kansas City Chiefs +800
  • Los Angeles Chargers +800
  • New England Patriots +700
  • Los Angeles Rams +700
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