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Broncos’ Joseph the Favorite to Be Next NFL Coach Fired

Head coach Vance Joseph of the Denver Broncos during their 45-10 win at the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on October 18, 2018 in Glendale, Arizona.

When the Cleveland Browns decided to part ways with Hue Jackson – aka Mr. 3-36-1 – the first NFL coaching sacrifice of the season had occurred. According to oddsmakers, another bench boss could be in line to lose his job sooner rather than later.

According to BetOnline, Denver Broncos coach Vance Joseph is the +400 favorite to get the ax next. Tampa Bay’s Dirk Koetter (+450), the New York Jets’ Todd Bowles (+500), Green Bay’s Mike McCarthy (+600) and Arizona’s Steve Wilks (+600) comprise the rest of the top five at the shop.

Which coach will follow Jackson?

If you’ve seen the Broncos play over the past year and a half, it shouldn’t surprise you to see Joseph at the top of this list. Joseph, who signed a four-year contract with the Broncos in January 2017, finished his first season as a head coach with a 5-11 record. Denver is off to a 3-5 start and is already looking like an afterthought in the tough AFC West. If the Broncos continue to struggle, don’t be surprised if Joseph gets his walking papers before the year is done.

Koetter’s name has been on the chopping block for quite some time, as BetOnline had him as the favorite to be canned first prior to Week 1. The Buccaneers’ rotating wheel of quarterbacks has once again thrust Ryan Fitzpatrick into the spotlight in light of Jameis Winston’s four-interception performance in Week 8.

With the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers looking like powerhouses in the NFC South, the Bucs have a ton of work to do in the last half of the season in order to get back on track. If they can’t get there, expect the seat under Koetter to get increasingly hot.

Gruden’s not going anywhere

It’s interesting to see Oakland Raiders coach Jon Gruden on the board. Fresh off signing a monster 10-year, $100-million contract with his old team in the offseason, things couldn’t be worse for Gruden’s Raiders in 2018.

Oakland’s campaign reached a low point in the form of a 34-3 loss to the lowly San Francisco 49ers in Week 9, yet due to the length of Gruden’s deal, don’t expect the former Monday Night Football color commentator to go anywhere any time soon.

Odds on which NFL coach will be fired next in the 2018 season
Vance Joseph (Broncos)+400
Dirk Koetter (Buccaneers)+450
Todd Bowles (Jets)+500
Mike McCarthy (Packers)+600
Steve Wilks (Cardinals)+600
Adam Gase (Dolphins)+1000
Pat Shurmur (Giants)+1000
Doug Marrone (Jaguars)+1600
Jason Garrett (Cowboys)+1600
Jon Gruden (Raiders)+1600
Kyle Shanahan (49ers)+1600
Sean McDermott (Bills)+1600
John Harbaugh (Ravens)+2000

Odds as of November 2 at BetOnline

Archived Articles

The 2018 NFL season has finally arrived, and sportsbooks are projecting which head coach will be the first to get the ax in the upcoming campaign.

At BetWay, Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Dirk Koetter is the +250 favorite, with Cleveland’s Hue Jackson (+350), Denver’s Vance Joseph (+650), Miami’s Adam Gase (+750), Cincinnati’s Marvin Lewis (+1600), Todd Bowles of the New York Jets (+1600), Houston’s Bill O’Brien (+2000), Washington’s Jay Gruden (+2800), Indianapolis’ Frank Reich (+3300), Dallas’ Jason Garrett (+3300), Baltimore’s John Harbaugh (+3300), Oakland’s Jon Gruden (+3300), Chicago’s Matt Nagy (+3300) and Tennessee’s Mike Vrabel (+3300) rounding out the list.

Is Jackson’s time coming to an end in Ohio?

On the heels of an 0-16 season, Jackson was occupying the hottest of hot seats, but the Browns raised eyebrows by deciding to bring him back. In his two years at the reins of the Browns, Jackson has gone 1-31. Normally that would be more than enough for a coach to lose his job, but these are the Browns we’re talking about.

The good news for Cleveland fans and bettors alike is the Browns had a surprisingly good offseason. New general manager John Dorsey decided to put his stamp on the franchise early by acquiring ex-Buffalo Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor and former Miami Dolphins wideout Jarvis Landry. Dorsey also selected his signal-caller of the future, Baker Mayfield, with the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, while using the rest of his many selections to fill numerous holes throughout the roster.

Considering they have nowhere to go but up, the Browns should improve this year, but if Jackson cannot get this group going, he could very easily be shown the door.

Best of the rest

Koetter, Jackson, Joseph, Gase and Bowles are all sensible selections to potentially lose their jobs, but I’m not quite sure why Lewis is priced so high. Cincinnati owner Mike Brown preached “continuity” in January by bringing back Lewis for a 16th season, yet it’s a questionable decision for a man who’s never managed to win a playoff game in his time with the franchise.

The two-year extension to the bench boss caused groans for Bengals fans who’ve seen their team post back-to-back losing seasons. Lewis has the third-best winning percentage of any Bengals head coach and is clearly viewed in extremely high regard by the front office, so don’t expect them to can him if the Bengals start off slow again.

Koetter’s odds have been on the move in a big way since the prop was released in mid-June. In two months, his chances of being the first coach fired fell from +1200 all the way to +250. The Bucs took a major step back in 2017 in the form of a 5-11 record and are projected to once again finish in the basement of the NFC South. Quarterback Jameis Winston’s three-game suspension for violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy is certainly not going to help matters, either. Koetter, who’s entering his third year with the club, could very likely be gone at some point in the season if things aren’t going well and it’s decided the young squad could use a new voice in the locker room.

Looking for more betting advice on the gridiron? Head over to our NFL page for all of the stats, trends and information you’ll need to put some extra cash in your pocket.

Odds on which NFL coach will be fired first in the 2018 season
Dirk Koetter (Buccaneers)+250
Hue Jackson (Browns)+350
Vance Joseph (Broncos)+650
Adam Gase (Dolphins)+750
Marvin Lewis (Bengals)+1600
Todd Bowles (Jets)+1600
Bill O’Brien (Texans)+2000
Jay Gruden (Redskins)+2800
Frank Reich (Colts)+3300
Jason Garrett (Cowboys)+3300
John Harbaugh (Ravens)+3300
Jon Gruden (Raiders)+3300
Matt Nagy (Bears)+3300
Mike Vrabel (Titans)+3300

Odds as of September 7 at BetWay